Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.176935 0.206461 0.238851 0.276949 0.320457 0.368513 0.425533
2026-01-25 0.126402 0.165900 0.213872 0.276068 0.354175 0.448583 0.570853
2026-02-01 0.097122 0.139496 0.195090 0.272591 0.376924 0.511468 0.696869
2026-02-08 0.077497 0.120141 0.179832 0.268193 0.394087 0.565131 0.812757
2026-02-15 0.061777 0.102656 0.163315 0.258047 0.399929 0.601655 0.906407
2026-02-22 0.055591 0.097966 0.164007 0.271834 0.440106 0.688381 1.076600
2026-03-01 0.046204 0.086407 0.152227 0.264557 0.447105 0.726376 1.177911
2026-03-08 0.038298 0.075856 0.140321 0.255068 0.448805 0.755404 1.266760
2026-03-15 0.032498 0.067959 0.131590 0.249380 0.455399 0.791718 1.368741
2026-03-22 0.029174 0.064066 0.129213 0.254082 0.479379 0.857301 1.521874
2026-03-29 0.027099 0.062237 0.130263 0.264824 0.514485 0.943575 1.714837
2026-04-05 0.024625 0.059167 0.128509 0.270040 0.539992 1.015166 1.887770
2026-04-12 0.022019 0.055457 0.125157 0.272089 0.560380 1.080325 2.056117
2026-04-19 0.019546 0.051619 0.121043 0.272169 0.577092 1.140330 2.220076
2026-04-26 0.017120 0.047440 0.115605 0.268835 0.586711 1.187901 2.364756
2026-05-03 0.014956 0.043476 0.110049 0.264501 0.593728 1.230837 2.503499
2026-05-10 0.012709 0.038852 0.102322 0.254483 0.588036 1.248901 2.596595
2026-05-17 0.012219 0.038775 0.105137 0.268098 0.632680 1.367446 2.888370
2026-05-24 0.010584 0.035231 0.099137 0.260912 0.632259 1.396855 3.009335
2026-05-31 0.009060 0.031676 0.092568 0.251542 0.626036 1.413857 3.106591
2026-06-07 0.007913 0.028995 0.087819 0.245925 0.627526 1.446537 3.237034
2026-06-14 0.007332 0.027954 0.087252 0.250568 0.652799 1.530563 3.477205
2026-06-21 0.007029 0.027759 0.088967 0.261175 0.692852 1.648573 3.794564